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← All boardsIs stupid22 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. stupid22 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 91 days (2026-04-19 to 2026-10-07), adding up to $82K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$109K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board.
All figures are Polymarket's own pre-fee numbers (taker fees not deducted), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Days on board91
Archive span200 days
First seen2026-04-19
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$109K
Verified lifetime PnL
$25.68MVolume
96.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.38%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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-$109KVerified lifetime PnL
$191KBelow board-day sum
91Days on board
$82KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $7K |
| 2026-05 | 22 | $41K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $13K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $4K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 80Finance 12Weather 8
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
96% passive fills in the recent window
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio96%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$82K
Verified lifetime PnL-$109K
Verification gap-$191K
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Archived 2026-10-29 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-29 (200 snapshots)