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Is End123 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x8df73e2962d0184ea1f71621784d46ca6b5936c4
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. End123 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 87 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $42K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$36K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 10% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$36K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$7,826 · loses the most in Politics -$37.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$8,602Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Culture · No
- +$5,778Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- +$5,632Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsSports · New York Mets
- +$4,928Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics · No
- +$3,959LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports · G2 Esports
Top 5 losing markets
- -$39.4KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- -$8,635Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics · Yes
- -$6,157Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$5,733Minnesota Twins vs. New York MetsSports · Minnesota Twins
- -$5,510LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonSports · Shifters
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 9 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,581). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $17K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 20 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 16 | $2K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
6% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)