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← All boardsIs superstonksbro really profitable on Polymarket?
0x969fae0a3a93778adc42178f72c612ed8c4e4d55
Short answer
Mostly yes. superstonksbro made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 66 days (2026-04-01 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $99K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$280K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$3K, last month -$27K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 74% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 74%Verified PnL#160 of 624
Beats 8%30-day PnL#541 of 594
Beats 60%Win rate#232 of 592
Beats 68%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#196 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board66
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-01
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$280K
Verified lifetime PnL
$15.29MVolume
69.7%Win rate (sample) · n=399
1.80%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3K7-day PnL
-$27K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$280.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,320only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$15.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$20.4K
1.83% ROI30.9% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$202.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$64.8KColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsSports · San Francisco Giants
- +$45.4KHawks vs. MavericksSports · Hawks
- +$40.6KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$39.8KClippers vs. MavericksSports · Clippers
- +$34.2KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?Finance · Up / Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$27.3KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?Finance · Up / Down
- -$15.5KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?Finance · Down / Up
- -$14.5KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?Finance · Up / Down
- -$13.3KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?Finance · Down
- -$10.5KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?Finance · Up / Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$280KVerified lifetime PnL
$181KEarned off the board
66Days on board
$99KBoard-day sum
-$3K7-day PnL
-$27K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $12K |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $12K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $54K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $7K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 64Sports 2All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
49% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $16K (42% maker / 58% taker); rebate covers 6% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio49%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$16K
Maker rebate$7K
Taker rebate$9K
Maker share42%
Taker share58%
Window2026-04-10 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$24K
Rebate$1K
Net total-$23K
Rebate covers loss6%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$99K
Verified lifetime PnL$280K
Verification gap$181K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)