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← All boardsIs AnonymousUsername really profitable on Polymarket?
0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. AnonymousUsername made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 102 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-31), adding up to $1.54M on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$459K: a gap of $1.09M that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$150K, last month +$17K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 80% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 80%Verified PnL#125 of 622
Beats 59%30-day PnL#125 of 308
Beats 65%Win rate#195 of 568
Beats 27%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#431 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board102
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-31
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$459K
Verified lifetime PnL
$154.63MVolume
71.6%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.21%PnL ÷ Volume
$150K7-day PnL
$17K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$458.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$185.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$20.1Kpartial
0.30% ROI37% Win rate · n=770
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1.77M · loses the most in Politics -$408.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$156.1KWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Sports · Yes
- +$155.6KWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Sports · No
- +$113.4KWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports · No
- +$101.3KWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?Sports · Yes
- +$101.1KWill England win on 2026-06-23?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$82.8KWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$81.8KWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Sports · No
- -$80.1KWill Panama win on 2026-06-27?Sports · No
- -$67.8KWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Sports · No
- -$57.3KWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$459KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.09MBelow board-day sum
102Days on board
$1.81MBoard-day sum
$150K7-day PnL
$17K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $22K |
| 2026-05 | 23 | $231K |
| 2026-06 | 22 | $728K |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $243K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $208K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $54K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $319K |
Which boards
Sports 77Politics 52All markets 44
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $185K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$185K
Maker rebate$185K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-10 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$8.02M
Rebate$24K
Net total$8.05M
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$1.54M
Verified lifetime PnL$459K
Verification gap-$1.09M
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)