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← All boardsIs Investnow really profitable on Polymarket?
0x97f3f9f15c0063710c60d3ac9c40d17f4ba60eba
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. Investnow made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 86 days (2026-04-12 to 2026-10-06), adding up to $53K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$66K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$4K, last month -$6K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 9%Verified PnL#567 of 624
Beats 14%30-day PnL#510 of 594
Beats 11%Win rate#526 of 592
Beats 0%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#614 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board86
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-12
Last seen2026-10-06
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$66K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.12MVolume
39.6%Win rate · n=338
-6.05%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4K7-day PnL
-$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$66.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,617only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$80partial
Liquidity rewards$41
-5.91% ROI39.5% Win rate · n=339
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$10.6K · loses the most in Finance -$65.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$33.8KWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$14.4KUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · Yes
- +$13.5KWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Politics · No
- +$11.1KUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics · No
- +$6,210Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$25.1KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance · Yes
- -$24.7KWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$17.8KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Finance · No
- -$10,000Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · No
- -$9,293Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture · Yes
Covers the 341 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$66KVerified lifetime PnL
$119KBelow board-day sum
86Days on board
$53KBoard-day sum
-$4K7-day PnL
-$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $30K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 22 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $6K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Finance 53Tech 38Culture 13Politics 6Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
1% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $80 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio1%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$80
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$80
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$53K
Verified lifetime PnL-$66K
Verification gap-$119K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)