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Is hitjnn214 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x993f451b6d5c21996b1bf688493cea9c4c823ee3
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. hitjnn214 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 75 days (2026-03-25 to 2026-09-19), adding up to $70K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$27K: a gap of $44K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$14K, last month +$12K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 46% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 46%Verified PnL#608 of 1130
Beats 60%30-day PnL#323 of 810
Beats 47%Win rate#488 of 928
Beats 43%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#536 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board75
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-25
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$27K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.51MVolume
64.4%Win rate (sample) · n=393
0.66%PnL ÷ Volume
$14K7-day PnL
$12K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$26.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $590only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,601partial
Liquidity rewards$1,556
0.60% ROI57.4% Win rate · n=441
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$62.7K · loses the most in Politics -$17.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$41.8KWill USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Crypto · No / Yes
- +$12.5KWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? Crypto · No
- +$9,851Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$9,019Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Crypto · No
- +$8,028Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$34.1KUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto · No
- -$10.0KUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Politics · No
- -$8,586US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$7,500US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · No
- -$6,030MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 48 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$83.5K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$27KVerified lifetime PnL
$44KBelow board-day sum
75Days on board
$70KBoard-day sum
$14K7-day PnL
$12K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $16K |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $335 |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 20 | $26K |
| 2026-07 | 25 | $15K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $3K |
Which boards
Crypto 39Sports 20Politics 14Tech 11Culture 9Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
89% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (86% maker / 14% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio89%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$225
Maker share86%
Taker share14%
Window2026-04-23 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$70K
Verified lifetime PnL$27K
Verification gap-$44K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)