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← All boardsIs The-Joker really profitable on Polymarket?
0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729
Short answer
Mostly yes. The-Joker made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 109 days (2026-04-15 to 2026-11-01), adding up to $44K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$139K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$27K, last month +$25K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Tech traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 65% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 65%Verified PnL#215 of 624
Beats 69%30-day PnL#180 of 594
Beats 42%Win rate#339 of 592
Beats 62%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#232 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board109
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-15
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$139K
Verified lifetime PnL
$8.32MVolume
59.7%Win rate (sample) · n=392
1.49%PnL ÷ Volume
-$27K7-day PnL
$25K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$139.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $13.8Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,560partial
Liquidity rewards$1,607
1.68% ROI58.8% Win rate · n=398
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$61.9K · loses the most in Sports -$51.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$14.3KTitans vs. ColtsSports · Titans
- +$11.1KWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics · Yes
- +$10.5KWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?Culture · Yes
- +$9,929Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$9,650Saints vs. GiantsSports · Saints
Top 5 losing markets
- -$26.8KColts vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5Sports · Under
- -$19.6KValorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions PlayoffsSports · Team Vitality
- -$13.6KWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · No
- -$11.6KBengals vs. TexansSports · Texans
- -$10.8KSpread: Panthers (-2.5)Sports · Panthers
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$139KVerified lifetime PnL
$95KEarned off the board
109Days on board
$44KBoard-day sum
-$27K7-day PnL
$25K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $252 |
| 2026-05 | 22 | $16K |
| 2026-06 | 22 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 20 | $13K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $663 |
Which boards
Tech 61Culture 47Politics 27Finance 12Sports 10Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
65% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (52% maker / 48% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio65%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$814
Taker rebate$746
Maker share52%
Taker share48%
Window2026-02-17 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$44K
Verified lifetime PnL$139K
Verification gap$95K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)