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← All boardsIs 0x9e3ed7b6… really profitable on Polymarket?
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. 0x9e3ed7b6… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 64 days (2026-07-09 to 2026-10-04), adding up to $366K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$4.04M. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$184K, last month -$476K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 0% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 0%Verified PnL#620 of 624
Beats 0%30-day PnL#589 of 594
Beats 13%Win rate#511 of 592
Beats 2%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#603 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board64
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-09
Last seen2026-10-04
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$4.04M
Verified lifetime PnL
$115.32MVolume
42%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-2.95%PnL ÷ Volume
-$184K7-day PnL
-$476K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$4.04M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,061only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$283.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$439
-3.51% ROI42.6% Win rate · n=439
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$13.1K · loses the most in Sports -$1.37M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$80.2KLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$80.1KLoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSports · Dplus KIA / Gen.G
- +$66.1K76ers vs. HornetsSports · 76ers
- +$64.3KMLB All-Star GameSports · American League
- +$61.5KHeat vs. HornetsSports · Hornets
Top 5 losing markets
- -$150.9KWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?Sports · No
- -$127.6KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$107.9KWill France win on 2026-07-18?Sports · Yes
- -$99.4KLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSports · Hanwha Life Esports
- -$98.5KTimberwolves vs. CavaliersSports · Timberwolves
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$4.04MVerified lifetime PnL
$4.41MBelow board-day sum
64Days on board
$366KBoard-day sum
-$184K7-day PnL
-$476K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 16 | $168K |
| 2026-08 | 24 | $70K |
| 2026-09 | 22 | $115K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $13K |
Which boards
Sports 32Crypto 29All markets 12Politics 10Culture 7Finance 7Tech 6Weather 4Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
5% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $283K (4% maker / 96% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio5%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$283K
Maker rebate$10K
Taker rebate$273K
Maker share4%
Taker share96%
Window2026-07-10 → 2026-10-15
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$533K
Rebate$39K
Net total$572K
Window2026-09-15 → 2026-10-15
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$366K
Verified lifetime PnL-$4.04M
Verification gap-$4.41M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)