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← All boardsIs HerrieDavis really profitable on Polymarket?
0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e
Short answer
Mostly yes. HerrieDavis made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 137 days (2026-04-21 to 2026-10-12), adding up to $103K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$329K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$12K, last month -$152K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 77% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 77%Verified PnL#141 of 624
Beats 4%30-day PnL#567 of 594
Beats 45%Win rate#323 of 592
Beats 56%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#272 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board137
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-21
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$329K
Verified lifetime PnL
$34.37MVolume
62%Win rate (sample) · n=397
1.12%PnL ÷ Volume
-$12K7-day PnL
-$152K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$328.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$22.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$120.9K
0.96% ROI35.7% Win rate · n=689
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$168.8K · loses the most in Finance -$1,537
Top 5 winning markets
- +$21.2KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$16.6KWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$13.8KWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$13.3KWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Sports · Yes / No
- +$12.9KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$19.0KUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics · No
- -$9,656Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- -$9,440Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics · No
- -$7,317Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No
- -$7,129Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$329KVerified lifetime PnL
$225KEarned off the board
137Days on board
$103KBoard-day sum
-$12K7-day PnL
-$152K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 25 | $15K |
| 2026-06 | 26 | $27K |
| 2026-07 | 31 | $16K |
| 2026-08 | 28 | $29K |
| 2026-09 | 20 | $12K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $254 |
Which boards
Politics 75Culture 60Tech 51Finance 48Mentions 21Sports 21Crypto 2All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $22K (100% maker / 0% taker); rebate covers 1% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$22K
Maker rebate$22K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-22 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$60K
Rebate$605
Net total-$59K
Rebate covers loss1%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$103K
Verified lifetime PnL$329K
Verification gap$225K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)