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Is KnightDasCapital really profitable on Polymarket?
0xadfb6cba33cebca02eab6111ace1e3924b9cc2ef
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. KnightDasCapital made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 82 days (2026-04-27 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $225K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$52K: a gap of $173K that can only come from losing days the board never shows.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 56% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$52K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$13.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$13.8KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$11.8KWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$7,368CD Unión La Calera vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5Sports · Over
- +$7,080Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceSports · Norway
- +$6,291W75 Le Neubourg: Diana Martynov vs Clara VlasselaerSports · Diana Martynov
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,400Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$5,360Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderSports · Aryna Sabalenka
- -$5,350Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$5,260Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$5,131T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)Sports · Australia
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $77K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $41K |
| 2026-07 | 20 | $35K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $47K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $22K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)