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← All boardsIs qwen4.1.fund really profitable on Polymarket?
0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f
Short answer
Mostly yes. qwen4.1.fund made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 83 days (2026-06-25 to 2026-10-12), adding up to $275K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$626K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$296K, last month +$976K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 84% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 84%Verified PnL#96 of 624
Beats 97%30-day PnL#16 of 594
Beats 0%Win rate#590 of 592
Beats 65%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#213 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board83
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-25
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$626K
Verified lifetime PnL
$26.46MVolume
9%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.61%PnL ÷ Volume
$296K7-day PnL
$976K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$626.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $23only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$13.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$4,650
2.37% ROI6.53% Win rate · n=551
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$544.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$160.7KWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Sports · No / Yes
- +$97.9KWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No
- +$96.9KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$76.1KWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No
- +$59.5KWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$27.1KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$26.7KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$25.1KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$12.6KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$12.4KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$626KVerified lifetime PnL
$352KEarned off the board
83Days on board
$275KBoard-day sum
$296K7-day PnL
$976K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 30 | $120K |
| 2026-08 | 29 | $129K |
| 2026-09 | 17 | $16K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $8K |
Which boards
Politics 55Tech 42Sports 39Culture 22Finance 16All markets 12Weather 10
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $13K (50% maker / 50% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$13K
Maker rebate$6K
Taker rebate$7K
Maker share50%
Taker share50%
Window2026-06-25 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$120K
Rebate$2K
Net total-$118K
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$275K
Verified lifetime PnL$626K
Verification gap$352K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)