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Is Parz1vaI really profitable on Polymarket?

0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461

Short answer

Mostly yes. Parz1vaI made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 144 days (2026-04-14 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $106K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$804K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$28K, last month +$50K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 87% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 87%Verified PnL#79 of 624
Beats 77%30-day PnL#137 of 594
Beats 70%Win rate#175 of 592
Beats 55%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#276 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board144
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-14
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$804K

Verified lifetime PnL

$71.14MVolume
74.7%Win rate (sample) · n=392
1.09%PnL ÷ Volume
-$28K7-day PnL
$50K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$804.4K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $7,597only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$11.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$14.5Kpartial
1.13% ROI74.4% Win rate · n=394

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly maker83% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsActive this weekLast trade within 24 hoursRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Politics +$144.2K · loses the most in Crypto -$6,527

Politics156 pos.+$144.2K
Finance16 pos.+$67.6K
Sports131 pos.+$60.5K
Culture50 pos.+$45.3K
Tech & science22 pos.+$18.4K
Weather1 pos.+$2,753
Crypto24 pos.-$6,527

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$93.0KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
  2. +$73.6KWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture · Yes / No
  3. +$51.5KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · Yes / No
  4. +$45.5KCounter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BSports · Alliance
  5. +$38.7KUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics · Yes

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$34.6KWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Culture · No
  2. -$28.7KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
  3. -$26.5KLoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports · G2 Esports
  4. -$24.2KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
  5. -$23.5KUS military action against Iran by Sunday?Politics · No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$804KVerified lifetime PnL
$699KEarned off the board
144Days on board
$106KBoard-day sum
-$28K7-day PnL
$50K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 8 $8K
2026-05 24 $15K
2026-06 26 $9K
2026-07 29 $13K
2026-08 28 $39K
2026-09 21 $8K
2026-10 8 $13K

Which boards

Politics 58Tech 57Sports 46Finance 32Culture 28Crypto 22Mentions 14All markets 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

83% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $11K (70% maker / 30% taker); rebate covers 3% of recent trading losses

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio83%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$11K
Maker rebate$8K
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share70%
Taker share30%
Window2026-02-16 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

Rebate covering trading losses

Trade cash-$55K
Rebate$1K
Net total-$53K
Rebate covers loss3%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$106K
Verified lifetime PnL$804K
Verification gap$699K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)