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Is 0xb27bc932… really profitable on Polymarket?

0xb27bc932bf8110d8f78e55da7d5f0497a18b5b82

Short answer

Mostly yes. 0xb27bc932… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 73 days (2026-03-20 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $474K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$487K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week n/a, last month -$0.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 81% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 81%Verified PnL#118 of 624
Beats 27%30-day PnL#429 of 594
Beats 25%Win rate#443 of 592
Beats 27%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#451 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board73
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$487K

Verified lifetime PnL

$284.95MVolume
50.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.17%PnL ÷ Volume
-$030-day PnL
2026-03 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$487.5K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $22only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$705.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$65.1K
0.17% ROI22.4% Win rate · n=900

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleLooks stoppedLast trade 37 days agoShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 26 min) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly maker96% of 496 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 26 min)Read from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$45.4K

Crypto400 pos.-$45.4K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$9,687Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto · Down
  2. +$9,114Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCrypto · Down
  3. +$7,136Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETCrypto · Up
  4. +$6,412Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETCrypto · Up
  5. +$6,376Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCrypto · Up

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$6,950Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETCrypto · Down
  2. -$6,306Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETCrypto · Down / Up
  3. -$6,288Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto · Down
  4. -$6,195Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCrypto · Up
  5. -$6,192Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCrypto · Up

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$487KVerified lifetime PnL
$13KEarned off the board
73Days on board
$474KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
-$030-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-03 8 $324K
2026-04 4 $51K
2026-05 9 $20K
2026-06 16 $32K
2026-07 13 $28K
2026-08 12 $12K
2026-09 11 $7K

Which boards

Crypto 73All markets 2

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

96% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $705K (94% maker / 6% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio96%
Fills measured496
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$705K
Maker rebate$661K
Taker rebate$44K
Maker share94%
Taker share6%
Window2026-03-14 → 2026-09-25

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$2.27M
Rebate$46K
Net total$2.31M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$474K
Verified lifetime PnL$487K
Verification gap$13K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)