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Is 0xb55fa129… really profitable on Polymarket?

0xb55fa1296e6ec55d0ce53d93b9237389f11764d4

Short answer

Less than the leaderboard suggests. 0xb55fa129… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 96 days (2026-05-05 to 2026-10-12), adding up to $220K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$27K: a gap of $193K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$10K, last month +$101K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 39% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 39%Verified PnL#379 of 624
Beats 84%30-day PnL#92 of 594
Beats 29%Win rate#418 of 592
Beats 21%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#486 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board96
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-05
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$27K

Verified lifetime PnL

$136.16MVolume
52.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.04%PnL ÷ Volume
$10K7-day PnL
$101K30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$27.0K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $1,398only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$474.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$7,459
0.02% ROI23.4% Win rate · n=895

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 2.6 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly taker92% of 500 archived fills were taker fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 2.6 h)Mainly crypto100% of last 500 fills (over 2.6 h) are crypto marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$54.3K

Crypto400 pos.-$54.3K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$9,811Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto · Up / Down
  2. +$8,888Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ETCrypto · Down
  3. +$7,376Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto · Down
  4. +$6,239Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ETCrypto · Up
  5. +$5,908Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ETCrypto · Up

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$6,872Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ETCrypto · Down
  2. -$6,583Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto · Up
  3. -$6,260Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ETCrypto · Up
  4. -$5,710Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5PM ETCrypto · Down
  5. -$5,642Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCrypto · Up

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$27KVerified lifetime PnL
$193KBelow board-day sum
96Days on board
$220KBoard-day sum
$10K7-day PnL
$101K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 22 $50K
2026-06 16 $51K
2026-07 22 $34K
2026-08 15 $24K
2026-09 17 $24K
2026-10 4 $37K

Which boards

Crypto 96All markets 4

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

8% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $474K (16% maker / 84% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

aggressive (taker)

Passive ratio8%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Taker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$474K
Maker rebate$75K
Taker rebate$399K
Maker share16%
Taker share84%
Window2026-05-01 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$2.40M
Rebate$103K
Net total$2.50M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$220K
Verified lifetime PnL$27K
Verification gap-$193K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)