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← All boardsIs iutwpfal really profitable on Polymarket?
0xb89f5425341719d298dc2f5b9a92374f5fde1c44
Short answer
Mostly yes. iutwpfal made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 93 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-11-01), adding up to $20K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$98K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$2K, last month +$10K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Tech traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 60% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 60%Verified PnL#247 of 624
Beats 56%30-day PnL#259 of 594
Beats 40%Win rate#349 of 592
Beats 72%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#171 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board93
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$98K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.42MVolume
58.3%Win rate (sample) · n=396
2.04%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$97.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,101only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$777partial
Liquidity rewards$3,341
2.22% ROI58.3% Win rate · n=396
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$32.2K · loses the most in Crypto -$1,413
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,777Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech & science · No
- +$3,269Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,157Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- +$3,132Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech & science · No
- +$2,698Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,108Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$3,068Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Politics · Yes / No
- -$2,915Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$2,886Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$2,184Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$98KVerified lifetime PnL
$78KEarned off the board
93Days on board
$20KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 20 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 19 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $879 |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $758 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $758 |
Which boards
Tech 64Culture 24Finance 24Politics 11Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
57% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $777 (63% maker / 37% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio57%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-23
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$777
Maker rebate$493
Taker rebate$284
Maker share63%
Taker share37%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$20K
Verified lifetime PnL$98K
Verification gap$78K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)