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← All boardsIs denizz really profitable on Polymarket?
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Short answer
Mostly yes. denizz made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 91 days (2026-03-21 to 2026-11-01), adding up to $1.11M on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$2.36M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$9K, last month +$16K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 95% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 95%Verified PnL#27 of 624
Beats 63%30-day PnL#217 of 594
Beats 42%Win rate#342 of 592
Beats 78%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#136 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board91
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$2.36M
Verified lifetime PnL
$98.83MVolume
59.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
2.36%PnL ÷ Volume
$9K7-day PnL
$16K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2.36M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$136partial
Liquidity rewards$52.1Kpartial
2.39% ROI57.7% Win rate · n=411
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2.00M · loses the most in Finance -$39.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$807.3KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$382.6KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$318.1KUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · Yes
- +$284.6KIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics · Yes
- +$250.6KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$187.5KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$100.5KIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?Politics · Yes
- -$100.3KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$90.0K Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · Yes
- -$73.5KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$2.36MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.25MEarned off the board
91Days on board
$1.11MBoard-day sum
$9K7-day PnL
$16K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $51K |
| 2026-04 | 10 | $518K |
| 2026-05 | 13 | $85K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $230K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $41K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $110K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $15K |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $39K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $18K |
Which boards
Politics 91All markets 10
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
96% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $136 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio96%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$136
Maker rebate$136
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-04 → 2026-09-24
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1.11M
Verified lifetime PnL$2.36M
Verification gap$1.25M
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)