ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs hell0pia really profitable on Polymarket?
0xbf93328f8b69273453228a82c913207731822fd7
Short answer
Mostly yes. hell0pia made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 60 days (2026-04-26 to 2026-10-12), adding up to $72K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$92K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$2K, last month +$10K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 59% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 59%Verified PnL#254 of 624
Beats 58%30-day PnL#250 of 594
Beats 40%Win rate#349 of 592
Beats 84%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#100 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board60
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$92K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.01MVolume
58.3%Win rate · n=120
2.83%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$91.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,825only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$433partial
Liquidity rewards$1,065
3.05% ROI57.4% Win rate · n=122
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$60.3K · loses the most in Crypto -$6,674
Top 5 winning markets
- +$68.5KIran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics · No
- +$36.6KUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · No
- +$22.2KGemini 3.5 released by May 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$19.9KWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Sports · Yes
- +$19.6KWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$71.7KUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$40.3KWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Yes
- -$24.2KWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$19.7KWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- -$15.3KWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics · No
Covers all 125 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$92KVerified lifetime PnL
$20KEarned off the board
60Days on board
$72KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-05 | 24 | $48K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $14K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $791 |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 25Tech 21Finance 14Culture 3Sports 2Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
83% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $433 (83% maker / 17% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio83%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$433
Maker rebate$358
Taker rebate$75
Maker share83%
Taker share17%
Window2026-04-25 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$72K
Verified lifetime PnL$92K
Verification gap$20K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)