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← All boardsIs CoffeeLover really profitable on Polymarket?
0xc1b399b26020a4f689108e9640fd3dc8ffc8501c
Short answer
Mostly yes. CoffeeLover made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 63 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-14), adding up to $48K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$262K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$930, last month +$7K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 72% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 72%Verified PnL#170 of 624
Beats 52%30-day PnL#283 of 594
Beats 18%Win rate#481 of 592
Beats 64%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#218 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board63
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$262K
Verified lifetime PnL
$16.79MVolume
46.4%Win rate (sample) · n=392
1.58%PnL ÷ Volume
-$9307-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$262.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $359only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,111partial
Liquidity rewards$4,117
1.56% ROI46.3% Win rate · n=393
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$623.3K · loses the most in Culture -$4,667
Top 5 winning markets
- +$254.5KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$52.7KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$49.3KWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics · Yes
- +$45.1KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- +$42.6KWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$22.3KWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics · No
- -$22.1KFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$19.4KNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$14.2KBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$12.6KWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$262KVerified lifetime PnL
$214KEarned off the board
63Days on board
$48KBoard-day sum
-$9307-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $10K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $14K |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $991 |
Which boards
Politics 52Sports 15Finance 3Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-18
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$5
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-02-23 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$48K
Verified lifetime PnL$262K
Verification gap$214K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)