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Is ZaiZoiBele really profitable on Polymarket?

0xc23dc0eca9e1c2e293de8911b9ac254f0bcd82c8

Short answer

Mostly yes. ZaiZoiBele made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 73 days (2026-05-06 to 2026-09-12), adding up to $83K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$345K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 83% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 83%Verified PnL#187 of 1130
Beats 75%Win rate#225 of 928
Beats 58%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#398 of 954

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board73
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-09-12
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$345K

Verified lifetime PnL

$28.02MVolume
79.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.19%PnL ÷ Volume
2026-05 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$345.3K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $857only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$365
1.23% ROI35.4% Win rate · n=900

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes46% of 270 buys at ≥ 90¢In and out fastMedian hold 8 min across 22 bought-then-sold positionsMainly sports79% of last 500 fills (over 29.7 h) are sports marketsAdds on strength46% of 35 multi-buy positions added 10%+ above the first priceRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$99.5K

Sports397 pos.+$99.5K
Politics3 pos.+$2,117

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$5,020Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?Sports · No
  2. +$4,952Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sports · Sporting CP
  3. +$4,767Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSports · Belgium
  4. +$4,691Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Sports · Over
  5. +$4,376Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-23?Sports · No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$6,282Queretaro: Fiona Ferro vs Elizabeth MandlikSports · Elizabeth Mandlik
  2. -$5,864Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 3.5Sports · Over
  3. -$5,430Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Sports · No
  4. -$4,351Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Sports · Manchester City FC
  5. -$4,203Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia TikhonovaSports · Anastasia Tikhonova

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 978 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$416.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$345KVerified lifetime PnL
$262KEarned off the board
73Days on board
$83KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 18 $23K
2026-06 15 $20K
2026-07 15 $13K
2026-08 19 $25K
2026-09 6 $1K

Which boards

Sports 71Politics 3Culture 1All markets 1

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$83K
Verified lifetime PnL$345K
Verification gap$262K

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)