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Is bosona really profitable on Polymarket?

Name: Is bosona really profitable on Polymarket? Verified PnL vs leaderboard
Creator: ProbPocket

0xc2ad03f79ca3f3c17d8c7de2612ce0c89b7d40ed

Short answer

Mostly yes. bosona made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 61 days (2026-06-05 to 2026-09-26), adding up to $65K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$404K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$18K, last month +$94K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 79% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 79%Verified PnL#130 of 624

Beats 83%30-day PnL#100 of 594

Beats 37%Win rate#370 of 592

Beats 64%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#220 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board61

Archive span203 days

First seen2026-06-05

Last seen2026-09-26

VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$404K

Verified lifetime PnL

$23.93MVolume

56.1%Win rate (sample) · n=399

1.54%PnL ÷ Volume

$18K7-day PnL

$94K30-day PnL

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$403.9K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $317only the fills we could read — a floor

Rebates (maker + taker)$54.0Kpartial

Liquidity rewards$4,732

1.69% ROI58.3% Win rate · n=784

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist99% of last 500 fills (over 3 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly maker94% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 3 h)Mainly crypto100% of last 500 fills (over 3 h) are crypto marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$253

Crypto400 pos.-$253

Top 5 winning markets

+$2,800Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCrypto · Down / Up
+$2,110Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCrypto · Up / Down
+$2,051Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETCrypto · Down
+$2,014Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCrypto · Up
+$1,907Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCrypto · Down

Top 5 losing markets

-$2,203Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETCrypto · Up
-$1,980Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Down
-$1,955Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETCrypto · Up
-$1,729Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Down
-$1,641Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto · Down

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$404KVerified lifetime PnL

$339KEarned off the board

61Days on board

$65KBoard-day sum

$18K7-day PnL

$94K30-day PnL

Month by month

Month	Days on a board	Summed PnL
2026-06	8	$11K
2026-07	21	$15K
2026-08	19	$24K
2026-09	13	$15K

Which boards

Crypto 61

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen

Visible rebatesopen

Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $54K (86% maker / 14% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio94%

Fills measured500

Window ends2026-09-25

Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$54K

Maker rebate$46K

Taker rebate$7K

Maker share86%

Taker share14%

Window2026-06-03 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$1.74M

Rebate$14K

Net total$1.75M

Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$65K

Verified lifetime PnL$404K

Verification gap$339K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)