ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs bipbipbop really profitable on Polymarket?
0xc4d5a24a240ec9f52669e3251e0473fd0c5687cf
Short answer
Mostly yes. bipbipbop made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 77 days (2026-03-30 to 2026-09-30), adding up to $62K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$106K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$386, last month +$15K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Culture traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 61% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 61%Verified PnL#238 of 624
Beats 63%30-day PnL#219 of 594
Beats 37%Win rate#368 of 592
Beats 31%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#425 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board77
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-30
Last seen2026-09-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$106K
Verified lifetime PnL
$35.79MVolume
56.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.29%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3867-day PnL
$15K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$106.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$23.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$6,486
0.30% ROI56.5% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$7,566 · loses the most in Crypto -$4,280
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,937Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$3,613Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$3,148Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$3,024Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- +$2,591Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,975Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- -$7,736Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- -$4,966Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- -$4,800Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Culture · No
- -$4,395Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$106KVerified lifetime PnL
$44KEarned off the board
77Days on board
$62KBoard-day sum
-$3867-day PnL
$15K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $12K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $13K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 22 | $7K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $22K |
Which boards
Culture 61Politics 22
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $23K (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$23K
Maker rebate$21K
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$121K
Rebate$1K
Net total$122K
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$62K
Verified lifetime PnL$106K
Verification gap$44K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)