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← All boardsIs tourists really profitable on Polymarket?
0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f
Short answer
Mostly yes. tourists made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 120 days (2026-03-28 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $131K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$518K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$156K, last month -$142K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 82% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 82%Verified PnL#113 of 624
Beats 5%30-day PnL#564 of 594
Beats 67%Win rate#194 of 592
Beats 50%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#305 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board120
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-28
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$518K
Verified lifetime PnL
$66.74MVolume
72.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.94%PnL ÷ Volume
-$156K7-day PnL
-$142K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$518.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,354only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,496partial
Liquidity rewards$4,555
0.78% ROI72.6% Win rate · n=401
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$152.6K · loses the most in Other -$2,805
Top 5 winning markets
- +$97.6KWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$70.7KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Finance · No / Yes
- +$35.4KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$33.5KOver $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto · Yes / No
- +$30.2KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$97.2KWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Sports · Yes
- -$85.4KWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics · Yes
- -$65.2KIsrael military action against Iran by Friday?Politics · No / Yes
- -$58.7KWill the government shutdown end November 13?Politics · No / Yes
- -$45.6KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$518KVerified lifetime PnL
$387KEarned off the board
120Days on board
$131KBoard-day sum
-$156K7-day PnL
-$142K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $761 |
| 2026-04 | 9 | $18K |
| 2026-05 | 26 | $49K |
| 2026-06 | 25 | $41K |
| 2026-07 | 25 | $16K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $146 |
Which boards
Politics 70Finance 46Tech 37Weather 11Sports 9Mentions 7Culture 4Crypto 3All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
87% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio87%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$412
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-04-21 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$131K
Verified lifetime PnL$518K
Verification gap$387K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)