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← All boardsIs 0xc7d02944… really profitable on Polymarket?
0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a
Short answer
Mostly yes. 0xc7d02944… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 142 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $145K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$341K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$28K, last month +$257K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 78% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 78%Verified PnL#138 of 624
Beats 91%30-day PnL#52 of 594
Beats 4%Win rate#568 of 592
Beats 60%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#248 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board142
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$341K
Verified lifetime PnL
$22.60MVolume
29.1%Win rate (sample) · n=368
1.35%PnL ÷ Volume
$28K7-day PnL
$257K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$341.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$20.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$28.7K
1.51% ROI22% Win rate · n=487
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$42.7K · loses the most in Culture -$14.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,333Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes / No
- +$6,103Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$4,159Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics · Yes
- +$4,135Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Sports · Yes / No
- +$4,132Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,827Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?Crypto · No
- -$4,349Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Culture · No
- -$3,2910 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics · No
- -$3,025Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$2,950Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$341KVerified lifetime PnL
$196KEarned off the board
142Days on board
$145KBoard-day sum
$28K7-day PnL
$257K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 27 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 29 | $55K |
| 2026-07 | 31 | $43K |
| 2026-08 | 30 | $34K |
| 2026-09 | 20 | $2K |
Which boards
Sports 67Politics 62Tech 54Weather 53Finance 53Culture 35Crypto 11Mentions 11All markets 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
80% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $21K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio80%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$21K
Maker rebate$21K
Taker rebate$3
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-25 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$40K
Rebate$1K
Net total-$39K
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$145K
Verified lifetime PnL$341K
Verification gap$196K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)