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← All boardsIs betwick really profitable on Polymarket?
0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a
Short answer
Mostly yes. betwick made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 59 days (2026-04-01 to 2026-10-01), adding up to $110K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$602K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$91K, last month -$76K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 84% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 84%Verified PnL#97 of 624
Beats 6%30-day PnL#558 of 594
Beats 31%Win rate#404 of 592
Beats 66%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#209 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board59
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-01
Last seen2026-10-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$602K
Verified lifetime PnL
$39.66MVolume
53.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
1.68%PnL ÷ Volume
-$91K7-day PnL
-$76K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$602.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $8,936only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,639partial
Liquidity rewards$10.1K
1.52% ROI49.4% Win rate · n=431
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$620.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$167.1KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$139.5KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes / No
- +$76.9KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$67.8KWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Culture · Yes / No
- +$59.9KUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$101.0KWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · No
- -$66.4KUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · No
- -$44.1KWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Culture · No / Yes
- -$42.4KWill South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?Politics · Yes / No
- -$42.3KUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$602KVerified lifetime PnL
$493KEarned off the board
59Days on board
$110KBoard-day sum
-$91K7-day PnL
-$76K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $50K |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $6K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $14K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $15K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $9K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $7K |
Which boards
Politics 53Finance 6Crypto 2Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $5K (83% maker / 17% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$792
Maker share83%
Taker share17%
Window2026-05-02 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$110K
Verified lifetime PnL$602K
Verification gap$493K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)