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← All boardsIs Avamax really profitable on Polymarket?
0xc97b0b2a2547bb3ed57167092ef8a6e816c347e5
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. Avamax made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 112 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-10), adding up to $83K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$12K: a gap of $71K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$5K, last month +$14K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 31% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 31%Verified PnL#429 of 624
Beats 62%30-day PnL#226 of 594
Beats 80%Win rate#117 of 592
Beats 23%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#472 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board112
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-10
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
$19.72MVolume
82.5%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.08%PnL ÷ Volume
-$5K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$11.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $996only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,337partial
Liquidity rewards$2,391
0.06% ROI80.9% Win rate · n=408
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$42.3K · loses the most in Crypto -$66.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$75.6KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$45.3KUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$24.1KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$7,458Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Finance · No
- +$6,866Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$129.5KWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Politics · Yes / No
- -$20.9KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No
- -$20.5KWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Finance · No / Yes
- -$12.5KWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$12.4KWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?Crypto · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$12KVerified lifetime PnL
$71KBelow board-day sum
112Days on board
$83KBoard-day sum
-$5K7-day PnL
$14K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 20 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 21 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 27 | $19K |
| 2026-08 | 21 | $11K |
| 2026-09 | 18 | $35K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $819 |
Which boards
Finance 69Politics 43Crypto 18Culture 17Tech 3All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$344
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-02-05 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$83K
Verified lifetime PnL$12K
Verification gap-$71K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)