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Is hose really profitable on Polymarket?
0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. hose made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 74 days (2026-03-22 to 2026-11-05), adding up to $134K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$59K: a gap of $75K that can only come from losing days the board never shows.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 58% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$59K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$88.8K · loses the most in Tech & science -$24.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$112.7KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$100.1KWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- +$9,062Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
- +$9,001Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Crypto · No
- +$8,948Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$26.9KWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$24.9KOpenAI browser by October 31?Tech & science · No
- -$21.0KWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$19.4KLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Culture · Yes
- -$17.2KWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
Covers the 274 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $265 |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $132 |
| 2026-05 | 18 | $17K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $95K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $13K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $4K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
89% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)