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Is PantheraUncia really profitable on Polymarket?
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Short answer
Mostly yes. PantheraUncia made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 71 days (2026-04-14 to 2026-09-20), adding up to $80K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$148K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$100K, last month +$63K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 72% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 72%Verified PnL#307 of 1130
Beats 77%30-day PnL#179 of 810
Beats 40%Win rate#552 of 928
Beats 40%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#566 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board71
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-14
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$148K
Verified lifetime PnL
$27.21MVolume
60.3%Win rate (sample) · n=350
0.56%PnL ÷ Volume
$100K7-day PnL
$63K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$148.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,764only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$5,538partial
Liquidity rewards$9,160
0.55% ROI60.3% Win rate · n=350
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$148.7K · loses the most in Finance -$55.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$154.9KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$74.9KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$26.1KUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · Yes / No
- +$20.6KWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics · Yes
- +$17.3KUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$51.4KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$31.0KWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$27.7KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$27.3KUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Politics · No
- -$25.4KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Finance · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$148KVerified lifetime PnL
$69KEarned off the board
71Days on board
$80KBoard-day sum
$100K7-day PnL
$63K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $30K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $28K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $7K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $9K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 64Sports 11Crypto 2Tech 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $6K (91% maker / 9% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$6K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$512
Maker share91%
Taker share9%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$80K
Verified lifetime PnL$148K
Verification gap$69K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)