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← All boardsIs rwo really profitable on Polymarket?
0xd189664c5308903476f9f079820431e4fd7d06f4
Short answer
Mostly yes. rwo made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 79 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-08-09), adding up to $96K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$728K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$35, last month -$5.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 86% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 86%Verified PnL#86 of 624
Beats 27%30-day PnL#432 of 594
Beats 28%Win rate#422 of 592
Beats 37%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#385 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board79
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-08-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$728K
Verified lifetime PnL
$144.18MVolume
52%Win rate (sample) · n=392
0.51%PnL ÷ Volume
-$357-day PnL
-$530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$728.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,029only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$13.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$312
0.50% ROI51.3% Win rate · n=398
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$557.7K · loses the most in Sports -$4,834
Top 5 winning markets
- +$416.4KWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Politics · Yes
- +$251.5KWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$151.3KWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$147.5KWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Sports · Yes / No
- +$145.3KWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$163.0KWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Sports · Yes / No
- -$88.3KWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Sports · No / Yes
- -$75.6KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Sports · No / Yes
- -$75.1KWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?Sports · No / Yes
- -$73.6KWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Sports · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$728KVerified lifetime PnL
$632KEarned off the board
79Days on board
$96KBoard-day sum
-$357-day PnL
-$530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $11K |
| 2026-05 | 26 | $27K |
| 2026-06 | 23 | $43K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $11K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $4K |
Which boards
Crypto 77Sports 9Politics 1Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
85% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $13K (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio85%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$13K
Maker rebate$12K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-01-08 → 2026-09-07
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash-$9K
Rebate$0
Net total-$9K
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$96K
Verified lifetime PnL$728K
Verification gap$632K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)