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← All boardsIs Optimus- really profitable on Polymarket?
0xd5b97d08ec6098407bfbf66c2786ccc9967fe44e
Short answer
Mostly yes. Optimus- made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 76 days (2026-04-26 to 2026-09-20), adding up to $13K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$125K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$1K, last month +$8K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 63% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 63%Verified PnL#226 of 624
Beats 53%30-day PnL#275 of 594
Beats 36%Win rate#379 of 592
Beats 85%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#92 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board76
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$125K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.73MVolume
55.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
3.03%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$124.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,866only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,239partial
Liquidity rewards$2,828
3.35% ROI55% Win rate · n=402
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$38.4K · loses the most in Sports -$1,531
Top 5 winning markets
- +$13.8KGoogle Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$11.3KWill Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?Finance · Yes / No
- +$5,435Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Tech & science · Yes
- +$4,036Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Culture · Yes
- +$3,248Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,093Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?Finance · No
- -$3,610SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Finance · Yes / No
- -$2,827Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance · Yes
- -$2,785Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics · Yes
- -$2,590Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$125KVerified lifetime PnL
$112KEarned off the board
76Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $300 |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 18 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 32Politics 27Tech 21Culture 4Sports 3Weather 2Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
81% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (80% maker / 20% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio81%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$996
Taker rebate$243
Maker share80%
Taker share20%
Window2026-02-13 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$125K
Verification gap$112K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)