ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
Is 0xDB5 really profitable on Polymarket?
0xdb5ad26b68d77ae966d29e7180147272ab7a3965
Short answer
Mostly yes. 0xDB5 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 80 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $31K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$157K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$8K, last month +$6K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 73% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 73%Verified PnL#296 of 1130
Beats 50%30-day PnL#401 of 810
Beats 42%Win rate#530 of 928
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#647 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board80
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$157K
Verified lifetime PnL
$56.52MVolume
61.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.27%PnL ÷ Volume
-$8K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$157.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $194only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$26.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$327
0.28% ROI27.6% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$5,600 · loses the most in Crypto -$62.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,670Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Finance · Yes
- +$1,957Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,950Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,909Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,897Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,851Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 11?Crypto · No
- -$5,651Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?Crypto · Yes
- -$5,230Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?Crypto · Yes
- -$4,996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?Crypto · Yes
- -$4,567Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2679 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$43.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$157KVerified lifetime PnL
$126KEarned off the board
80Days on board
$31KBoard-day sum
-$8K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 18 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $3K |
Which boards
Crypto 80
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
64% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $26K (79% maker / 21% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio64%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$26K
Maker rebate$21K
Taker rebate$5K
Maker share79%
Taker share21%
Window2026-03-12 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$642K
Rebate$5K
Net total$646K
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$31K
Verified lifetime PnL$157K
Verification gap$126K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)