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← All boardsIs wan123 really profitable on Polymarket?
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
Short answer
Mostly yes. wan123 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 88 days (2026-03-21 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $1.03M on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$1.16M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$165K, last month +$87K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 91% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 91%Verified PnL#53 of 624
Beats 82%30-day PnL#104 of 594
Beats 76%Win rate#142 of 592
Beats 73%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#165 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board88
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.16M
Verified lifetime PnL
$57.32MVolume
79.5%Win rate · n=259
2.07%PnL ÷ Volume
-$165K7-day PnL
$87K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.16M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $21.1Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$13.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$15.4K
2.03% ROI37.5% Win rate · n=549
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$3.44M · loses the most in Finance -$57.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.20MUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$325.0KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$279.2KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$213.9KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes / No
- +$201.2KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$158.6KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$130.9KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$83.2KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$78.1KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$75.6KUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 293 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.16MVerified lifetime PnL
$134KEarned off the board
88Days on board
$1.03MBoard-day sum
-$165K7-day PnL
$87K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 4 | $181K |
| 2026-04 | 7 | $203K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $330K |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $60K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $49K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $29K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $30K |
| 2026-10 | 5 | $148K |
Which boards
Politics 64Sports 27All markets 12Crypto 6Finance 2Tech 1Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $14K (75% maker / 25% taker); recent window rebate share 10%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured496
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$14K
Maker rebate$10K
Taker rebate$4K
Maker share75%
Taker share25%
Window2026-03-20 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$34K
Rebate$4K
Net total$38K
Rebate share10%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1.03M
Verified lifetime PnL$1.16M
Verification gap$134K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)