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← All boardsIs Pump really profitable on Polymarket?
0xe74d4976e5e034182d708a3b9df602e72d4722fd
Short answer
Mostly yes. Pump made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 69 days (2026-03-27 to 2026-10-07), adding up to $48K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$51K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$1K, last month +$5K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Culture traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#306 of 625
Beats 44%30-day PnL#289 of 519
Beats 7%Win rate#521 of 566
Beats 42%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#339 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board69
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-03-27
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$51K
Verified lifetime PnL
$6.45MVolume
36.5%Win rate (sample) · n=384
0.75%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$46.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,160only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$649partial
Liquidity rewards$1,253partial
0.72% ROI36.5% Win rate · n=384
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$26.3K · loses the most in Weather -$1,498
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,446Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Finance · Yes
- +$5,242US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics · No
- +$4,688US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics · No
- +$4,307SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Finance · Down
- +$3,861Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,657LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$1,524Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?Crypto · Yes
- -$1,102Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$1,038Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,034Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$51KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KEarned off the board
69Days on board
$48KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $15K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $16K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $247 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $513 |
Which boards
Culture 33Finance 21Politics 11Sports 5Crypto 1Tech 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
45% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $649 (61% maker / 39% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio45%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$649
Maker rebate$393
Taker rebate$255
Maker share61%
Taker share39%
Window2026-04-28 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$48K
Verified lifetime PnL$51K
Verification gap$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)