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← All boardsIs suntori really profitable on Polymarket?
0xe9076a87c5ed90ef16e6fe6529c943baeca0cff6
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. suntori made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 135 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-31), adding up to $2.70M on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$11.55M. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$159K, last month -$116K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 0% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 0%Verified PnL#622 of 622
Beats 6%30-day PnL#287 of 308
Beats 20%Win rate#450 of 568
Beats 6%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#554 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board135
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-31
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$11.55M
Verified lifetime PnL
$750.62MVolume
48%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.51%PnL ÷ Volume
-$159K7-day PnL
-$116K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$11.55M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,178only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$192.6Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,124
-1.54% ROI48% Win rate · n=402
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$328.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$416.1KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$398.8KWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Sports · Yes
- +$311.3KLincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton SheppSports · Anton Shepp
- +$309.4KWill England win on 2026-07-05?Sports · Yes
- +$242.4KWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$420.1KFrance vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSports · Spain / France
- -$401.0KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Sports · Yes
- -$393.7KNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxSports · New York Yankees
- -$295.6KWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?Sports · Yes
- -$285.3KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Sports · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
-$11.55MVerified lifetime PnL
$14.25MBelow board-day sum
135Days on board
$2.84MBoard-day sum
-$159K7-day PnL
-$116K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $23K |
| 2026-05 | 27 | $90K |
| 2026-06 | 27 | $954K |
| 2026-07 | 27 | $1.47M |
| 2026-08 | 28 | $56K |
| 2026-09 | 18 | $35K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $217K |
Which boards
Sports 76Crypto 44All markets 31Finance 30Tech 28Politics 23Weather 19Culture 18Mentions 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
2% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $193K (19% maker / 81% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio2%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$193K
Maker rebate$36K
Taker rebate$156K
Maker share19%
Taker share81%
Window2026-03-26 → 2026-10-31
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$1.58M
Rebate$2K
Net total$1.58M
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2.70M
Verified lifetime PnL-$11.55M
Verification gap-$14.25M
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)