ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs mewmew1 really profitable on Polymarket?
0xe95e726d0ca927874f3998d815bfec51d19261f2
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. mewmew1 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 65 days (2026-05-01 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $7K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$14K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$127, last month -$2K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#546 of 624
Beats 19%30-day PnL#476 of 594
Beats 34%Win rate#385 of 592
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#540 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board65
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$14K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.52MVolume
54.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.39%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1277-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$13.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5,315only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$552partial
Liquidity rewards$584
-0.39% ROI53.2% Win rate · n=412
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$12.0K · loses the most in Crypto -$9,061
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,471Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes
- +$5,130Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
- +$2,769FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?Finance · Yes
- +$2,716Will England win the 2024 Euros?Sports · No
- +$2,700Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$11.0KWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? Crypto · Yes / No
- -$7,672Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?Crypto · No
- -$4,280Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Culture · Yes
- -$4,117Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$3,621Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$14KVerified lifetime PnL
$21KBelow board-day sum
65Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
-$1277-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $729 |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $952 |
| 2026-09 | 17 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 31Crypto 20Sports 15Tech 14Culture 5Politics 4Mentions 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
36% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $552 (31% maker / 69% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio36%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$552
Maker rebate$172
Taker rebate$380
Maker share31%
Taker share69%
Window2026-05-01 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL-$14K
Verification gap-$21K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)