ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
Is 0xheavy888 really profitable on Polymarket?
0xec981ed70ae69c5cbcac08c1ba063e734f6bafcd
Short answer
Mostly yes. 0xheavy888 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 69 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-24), adding up to $263K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$575K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$111K, last month +$105K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 83% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 83%Verified PnL#102 of 624
Beats 84%30-day PnL#90 of 594
Beats 37%Win rate#369 of 592
Beats 41%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#362 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board69
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-24
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$575K
Verified lifetime PnL
$85.60MVolume
56.4%Win rate (sample) · n=397
0.65%PnL ÷ Volume
$111K7-day PnL
$105K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$574.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $18.6Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$116.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$6,204
0.67% ROI55.9% Win rate · n=401
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$32.0K · loses the most in Sports -$373.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$32.0KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$29.0KDota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSports · Team Spirit
- +$26.7KLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports · Movistar KOI
- +$23.4KLoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupSports · Hanwha Life Esports
- +$23.0KLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSports · Bilibili Gaming
Top 5 losing markets
- -$104.5KSpread: Uruguay (-1.5)Sports · Uruguay
- -$90.0KWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports · Yes
- -$83.3KBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- -$81.2KCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BSports · Vitality
- -$54.2KDota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerSports · Amaru Gaming
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$575KVerified lifetime PnL
$312KEarned off the board
69Days on board
$263KBoard-day sum
$111K7-day PnL
$105K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $27K |
| 2026-05 | 20 | $24K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $7K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $31K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $174K |
Which boards
Sports 40Politics 21Finance 10All markets 9Tech 4Crypto 4Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
83% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $117K (39% maker / 61% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio83%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$117K
Maker rebate$46K
Taker rebate$71K
Maker share39%
Taker share61%
Window2026-02-14 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$2.31M
Rebate$34K
Net total$2.35M
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$263K
Verified lifetime PnL$575K
Verification gap$312K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)