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← All boardsIs Bonereaper really profitable on Polymarket?
0xeebde7a0e019a63e6b476eb425505b7b3e6eba30
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. Bonereaper made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 105 days (2026-03-26 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $449K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$135K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$9K, last month +$75K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Crypto traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#580 of 624
Beats 80%30-day PnL#114 of 594
Beats 39%Win rate#359 of 592
Beats 17%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#511 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board105
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-26
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$135K
Verified lifetime PnL
$258.17MVolume
57.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$9K7-day PnL
$75K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$134.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,660only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$582.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$3,525
-0.05% ROI25.6% Win rate · n=898
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$18.3K · loses the most in Crypto -$148.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$24.0KWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?Sports · Yes
- +$11.9KBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$11.3KBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSports · Belgium
- +$10.4KBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$9,295Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$16.6KBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$15.4KBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$13.9KWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Sports · Yes
- -$12.1KBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$11.5KBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$135KVerified lifetime PnL
$584KBelow board-day sum
105Days on board
$449KBoard-day sum
$9K7-day PnL
$75K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 4 | $103K |
| 2026-04 | 8 | $138K |
| 2026-05 | 22 | $67K |
| 2026-06 | 23 | $69K |
| 2026-07 | 22 | $41K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $25K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $6K |
Which boards
Crypto 102Sports 3All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
37% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $582K (27% maker / 73% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio37%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$582K
Maker rebate$159K
Taker rebate$423K
Maker share27%
Taker share73%
Window2026-03-26 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$1.22M
Rebate$40K
Net total$1.26M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$449K
Verified lifetime PnL-$135K
Verification gap-$584K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)