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← All boardsIs macrosteaks really profitable on Polymarket?
0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. macrosteaks made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 127 days (2026-03-20 to 2026-09-27), adding up to $95K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$8K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$10K, last month -$19K.
All figures are Polymarket's own pre-fee numbers (taker fees not deducted), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Days on board127
Archive span200 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-09-27
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$18.16MVolume
65.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.07%PnL ÷ Volume
-$10K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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-$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$103KBelow board-day sum
127Days on board
$95KBoard-day sum
-$10K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $4K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $5K |
| 2026-05 | 26 | $16K |
| 2026-06 | 23 | $24K |
| 2026-07 | 27 | $12K |
| 2026-08 | 25 | $27K |
| 2026-09 | 20 | $6K |
Which boards
Sports 80Politics 56Culture 42Mentions 31All markets 1Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
1% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $6K (1% maker / 99% taker)
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio1%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$6K
Maker rebate$71
Taker rebate$6K
Maker share1%
Taker share99%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$95K
Verified lifetime PnL-$8K
Verification gap-$103K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-29 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-29 (200 snapshots)