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← All boardsIs BreakTheBank really profitable on Polymarket?
0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. BreakTheBank made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 59 days (2026-05-15 to 2026-10-31), adding up to $13.88M on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$10.62M: a gap of $3.26M that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$3.10M, last month +$6.99M.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 99% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 99%Verified PnL#4 of 622
#130-day PnL#1 of 308
Beats 87%Win rate#70 of 568
Beats 70%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#175 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board59
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-05-15
Last seen2026-10-31
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$10.62M
Verified lifetime PnL
$280.55MVolume
87.1%Win rate (sample) · n=388
1.99%PnL ÷ Volume
$3.10M7-day PnL
$6.99M30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$10.62M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$344.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$67.9K
3.78% ROI46.8% Win rate · n=722
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$56.76M · loses the most in Culture -$18.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.41MWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$1.29MWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Sports · Yes
- +$1.24MWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Sports · No
- +$1.13MWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Sports · No
- +$1.09MGrizzlies vs. JazzSports · Grizzlies
Top 5 losing markets
- -$805.1KBroncos vs. ChiefsSports · Broncos / Chiefs
- -$765.8KUS Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazSports · Ben Shelton / Carlos Alcaraz
- -$592.6KWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- -$550.5KWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports · Yes
- -$545.9KWill United States win on 2026-07-01?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$10.62MVerified lifetime PnL
$3.26MBelow board-day sum
59Days on board
$13.91MBoard-day sum
$3.10M7-day PnL
$6.99M30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 5 | $65K |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $8.60M |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $1.69M |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $105K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $2.27M |
| 2026-10 | 5 | $1.17M |
Which boards
Sports 58All markets 35Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $344K (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Head-to-heads with other top wallets:
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$344K
Maker rebate$335K
Taker rebate$9K
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-05-15 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$10.36M
Rebate$38K
Net total$10.40M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$13.88M
Verified lifetime PnL$10.62M
Verification gap-$3.26M
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)