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Is Hauchn really profitable on Polymarket?

0xf0ca28d5b0141f0a8e7b251dea80fd881cb166ed

Short answer

Less than the leaderboard suggests. Hauchn made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 64 days (2026-03-29 to 2026-11-01), adding up to $246K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$230K: a gap of $16K that can only come from losing days the board never shows. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$62K, last month +$94K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Finance traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 71% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 71%Verified PnL#177 of 624
Beats 83%30-day PnL#99 of 594
Beats 15%Win rate#501 of 592
Beats 81%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#114 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board64
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-29
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$230K

Verified lifetime PnL

$8.81MVolume
44%Win rate · n=216
2.61%PnL ÷ Volume
$62K7-day PnL
$94K30-day PnL
2026-03 2026-11

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$230.4K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $2,492only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,564partial
Liquidity rewards$503
2.62% ROI44% Win rate · n=216

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleLongshot buyer42% of 374 buys at ≤ 10¢Mostly maker93% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 6% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 15.7 days)Averages down42% of 12 multi-buy positions added 10%+ below the first priceRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Tech & science +$281.3K · loses the most in Finance -$5,763

Tech & science105 pos.+$281.3K
Crypto5 pos.+$13.72
Politics2 pos.-$0.09
Culture3 pos.-$7.34
Sports32 pos.-$16.13
Finance98 pos.-$5,763

Covers the 245 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$230KVerified lifetime PnL
$16KBelow board-day sum
64Days on board
$246KBoard-day sum
$62K7-day PnL
$94K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-03 2 $3K
2026-04 2 $12K
2026-05 11 $17K
2026-06 12 $14K
2026-07 16 $89K
2026-08 11 $27K
2026-09 5 $426
2026-10 4 $55K
2026-11 1 $28K

Which boards

Finance 64All markets 4

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (49% maker / 51% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$770
Taker rebate$794
Maker share49%
Taker share51%
Window2026-04-28 → 2026-10-10

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$246K
Verified lifetime PnL$230K
Verification gap-$16K

Trade on Polymarket

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)