ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsIs yen4u really profitable on Polymarket?
0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665
Short answer
Mostly yes. yen4u made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 94 days (2026-04-13 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $42K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$78K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$8K, last month +$23K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 56% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 56%Verified PnL#271 of 624
Beats 68%30-day PnL#188 of 594
Beats 96%Win rate#21 of 592
Beats 40%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#367 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board94
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-13
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$78K
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.25MVolume
96.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.63%PnL ÷ Volume
$8K7-day PnL
$23K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$78.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,631only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,148partial
Liquidity rewards$1,112
0.85% ROI76.6% Win rate · n=505
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$65.1K · loses the most in Culture -$9,510
Top 5 winning markets
- +$64.1KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No / Yes
- +$21.3KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$20.5KWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports · No / Yes
- +$14.5KKAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersSports · Under
- +$6,163Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$16.0KWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$14.2KIran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics · No
- -$13.5KTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics · No
- -$11.2KIran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics · No
- -$8,690US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$78KVerified lifetime PnL
$37KEarned off the board
94Days on board
$42KBoard-day sum
$8K7-day PnL
$23K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 7 | $5K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $9K |
| 2026-06 | 18 | $7K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 18 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $4K |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $4K |
Which boards
Politics 61Finance 16Mentions 12Culture 11Tech 10Sports 10Crypto 4Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
32% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (61% maker / 39% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio32%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$695
Taker rebate$453
Maker share61%
Taker share39%
Window2026-04-27 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$42K
Verified lifetime PnL$78K
Verification gap$37K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)