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← All boardsIs 0xf5592765… really profitable on Polymarket?
0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. 0xf5592765… made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 65 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $317K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$453K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$46K, last month -$121K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 3% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 3%Verified PnL#602 of 624
Beats 5%30-day PnL#562 of 594
Beats 86%Win rate#78 of 592
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#564 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board65
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$453K
Verified lifetime PnL
$22.03MVolume
86.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.00%PnL ÷ Volume
-$46K7-day PnL
-$121K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$452.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $138.0Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$31.4Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$332
-2.06% ROI50.7% Win rate · n=685
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$2.20M · loses the most in Culture -$1,498
Top 5 winning markets
- +$164.5KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$47.6KUS Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonSports · Alexander Zverev
- +$40.0KHornets vs. WizardsSports · Wizards
- +$36.9KNational Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur FilsSports · Rafael Jodar
- +$36.8KCounter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ASports · G2
Top 5 losing markets
- -$45.0KCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSports · Spirit
- -$32.1KCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSports · Vitality
- -$31.1KWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$30.8KSan Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresSports · San Francisco Giants
- -$28.0KCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Sports · Natus Vincere
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$453KVerified lifetime PnL
$770KBelow board-day sum
65Days on board
$317KBoard-day sum
-$46K7-day PnL
-$121K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $22K |
| 2026-05 | 13 | $88K |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $102K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $41K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $25K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $31K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $7K |
Which boards
Sports 38Politics 28All markets 9
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
68% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $31K (4% maker / 96% taker); rebate covers 3% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio68%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$31K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$30K
Maker share4%
Taker share96%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$178K
Rebate$5K
Net total-$173K
Rebate covers loss3%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$317K
Verified lifetime PnL-$453K
Verification gap-$770K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)