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Is 0xdamocles really profitable on Polymarket?
0xf5c49ad254b1d53ea0b86fb285dd3f11dc800926
Short answer
Mostly yes. 0xdamocles made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 74 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-22), adding up to $35K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$77K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 64% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 64%Verified PnL#416 of 1156
Beats 59%Win rate#394 of 963
Beats 70%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#292 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board74
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$77K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.80MVolume
70%Win rate · n=273
1.85%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$77.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $497only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$1,643
2.04% ROI67.7% Win rate · n=282
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$66.8K · loses the most in Culture -$2,216
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.1KNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$8,701Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Finance · No
- +$8,541Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Crypto · No
- +$7,738Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics · No
- +$6,788Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,830 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · Yes
- -$4,813Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$4,774Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics · Yes
- -$4,683Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$2,880Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Finance · Yes
Covers the 283 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 9 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$8,123). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$77KVerified lifetime PnL
$43KEarned off the board
74Days on board
$35KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $11K |
| 2026-06 | 15 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $8K |
| 2026-08 | 20 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $498 |
Which boards
Politics 52Tech 19Finance 6Crypto 2Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
86% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio86%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$35K
Verified lifetime PnL$77K
Verification gap$43K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)