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← All boardsIs Nooserac really profitable on Polymarket?
0xf68a281980f8c13828e84e147e3822381d6e5b1b
Short answer
Mostly yes. Nooserac made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 92 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-05), adding up to $738K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$1.36M, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$151K, last month +$511K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Sports traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 92% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 92%Verified PnL#50 of 622
Beats 93%30-day PnL#21 of 308
Beats 32%Win rate#381 of 568
Beats 39%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#357 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board92
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-05
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.36M
Verified lifetime PnL
$187.98MVolume
54%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.65%PnL ÷ Volume
-$151K7-day PnL
$511K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.36M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $28.1Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$70.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$76.2Kpartial
0.73% ROI27.7% Win rate · n=776
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$24.0K · loses the most in Sports -$57.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$85.5KCincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesSports · Cincinnati Reds
- +$61.6KWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?Sports · No
- +$57.8KBYU vs. UCFSports · UCF
- +$56.3KPanthers vs. BrownsSports · Browns
- +$54.8KLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesSports · Atlanta Braves
Top 5 losing markets
- -$89.0KOpen Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian MannarinoSports · Humbert
- -$64.9KUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Ilia Topuria
- -$64.1KWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports · No
- -$58.3KSpread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Sports · Timberwolves
- -$54.9KNotre Dame vs. BYUSports · Notre Dame
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$1.36MVerified lifetime PnL
$626KEarned off the board
92Days on board
$916KBoard-day sum
-$151K7-day PnL
$511K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $65K |
| 2026-05 | 18 | $294K |
| 2026-06 | 17 | $305K |
| 2026-07 | 19 | $92K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $87K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $72K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Sports 79All markets 37Culture 19Crypto 2Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
87% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $70K (84% maker / 16% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio87%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$70K
Maker rebate$59K
Taker rebate$11K
Maker share84%
Taker share16%
Window2026-02-26 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$1.09M
Rebate$8K
Net total$1.10M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$738K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.36M
Verification gap$626K
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)