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Is siick really profitable on Polymarket?
0xf9b71663d723d28fa455db659098e1dacde860a4
Short answer
Mostly yes. siick made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 74 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-09-20), adding up to $35K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$104K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 68% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$104K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$104.2K · loses the most in Culture -$1,278
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.2KUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · Yes / No
- +$7,274Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics · No
- +$5,319Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$5,270Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Politics · No
- +$5,023Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,840Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics · No
- -$6,622US forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics · No
- -$5,491US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · No
- -$5,318U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?Politics · Yes
- -$3,842Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 411 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$164.4K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 17 | $19K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $630 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
85% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)