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Is onekey02 really profitable on Polymarket?
0xfaf98181c44636998a194aa7660bcae1b977f4c4
Short answer
Less than the leaderboard suggests. onekey02 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 84 days (2026-04-30 to 2026-10-03), adding up to $91K on those days. Verified lifetime PnL is only +$38K: a gap of $53K that can only come from losing days the board never shows.
All figures are Polymarket's own pre-fee numbers (taker fees not deducted), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Days on board84
Archive span200 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-10-03
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$38K
Verified lifetime PnL
$13.09MVolume
96%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.28%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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$38KVerified lifetime PnL
$53KBelow board-day sum
84Days on board
$91KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $121 |
| 2026-05 | 26 | $23K |
| 2026-06 | 23 | $16K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $23K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $18K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 70Culture 28Finance 12Mentions 3Crypto 3All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$91K
Verified lifetime PnL$38K
Verification gap-$53K
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Archived 2026-10-29 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-29 (200 snapshots)