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← All boardsIs northdrawer really profitable on Polymarket?
0xfd557e6db670c9704bc1d0d8e8b585c7d9c9f905
Short answer
Mostly yes. northdrawer made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 105 days (2026-05-04 to 2026-09-24), adding up to $48K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$76K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$214K, last month +$254K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Politics traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 56% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 56%Verified PnL#273 of 624
Beats 91%30-day PnL#54 of 594
Beats 9%Win rate#533 of 592
Beats 54%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#284 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board105
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-04
Last seen2026-09-24
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$76K
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.10MVolume
37.6%Win rate (sample) · n=279
1.07%PnL ÷ Volume
$214K7-day PnL
$254K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$76.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $8only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,986partial
Liquidity rewards$2,693
1.07% ROI22.3% Win rate · n=470
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$72.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$22.4KWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No
- +$8,054Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No
- +$7,796Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$5,238Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No
- +$3,968Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,623Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Culture · No
- -$1,010Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Sports · No
- -$851Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics · No
- -$674Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Sports · No
- -$654Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$76KVerified lifetime PnL
$28KEarned off the board
105Days on board
$48KBoard-day sum
$214K7-day PnL
$254K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 15 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 21 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 23 | $11K |
| 2026-08 | 28 | $23K |
| 2026-09 | 18 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 51Sports 39Tech 38Finance 26Weather 23Culture 17
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
15% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (61% maker / 39% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio15%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$784
Maker share61%
Taker share39%
Window2026-05-01 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$48K
Verified lifetime PnL$76K
Verification gap$28K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)