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Polymarket PnL guides
Data as of · source: daily Polymarket leaderboard archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots), checked against Polymarket's public APIs · methodology
- Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate?
We checked the 100 wallets that appear most often on Polymarket's daily leaderboard: 89% earned less than their board days imply and 46% are net negative over their lifetime (data as of 2026-11-01). - How to check a Polymarket wallet's real PnL
Four checks to see whether a Polymarket wallet really makes money: board days vs lifetime PnL, recent windows, fees and win rate, worked through on ArmageddonRewardsBilly. Data as of 2026-11-01. - Polymarket fees and PnL
Polymarket's official PnL already has taker fees deducted. Across 979 leaderboard wallets we found $5.13M in fees paid; for 85 of 680 profitable wallets the fees paid equal 10%+ of what they kept (data as of 2026-11-01). - Does a high win rate mean profit on Polymarket?
Among 1275 Polymarket leaderboard wallets with at least 50 settled positions sampled, 142 of 500 with a 70%+ win rate are net negative over their lifetime (data as of 2026-11-01).
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