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Polymarket leaderboard reality check — Week 44, 2026
Data as of · source: daily Polymarket leaderboard archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots), checked against Polymarket's public APIs · methodology
Quotable findings
8 of the 50 wallets on Polymarket's weekly overall leaderboard on 2026-10-29 (16%) have lost money over their lifetime.
Across all nine weekly category boards, 74 of 385 distinct wallets (19%) are net negative lifetime.
The weekly overall top 50 made $27.19M on the board this week; their combined verified lifetime PnL is $49.56M.
Most inflated this week
Biggest gap between this week's board result and the wallet's lifetime record.
| Wallet | Weekly rank | This week (board) | Verified lifetime PnL | Days on daily board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | 22 | +$368K | -$4.70M | 166 |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | 4 | +$1.28M | -$1.46M | 25 |
| nigiri99 | 14 | +$496K | -$1.22M | 44 |
| 0xb0e74df9… | 3 | +$1.54M | +$122K | 18 |
| justwins | 40 | +$267K | -$715K | 23 |
Most real this week
Weekly leaders whose lifetime PnL is at least this week's result and who were on the daily board 5+ days in the archive.
| Wallet | Weekly rank | This week (board) | Verified lifetime PnL | Days on daily board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RN1 | 25 | +$354K | +$13.39M | 92 |
| BreakTheBank | 1 | +$3.79M | +$10.36M | 57 |
| HomeRunHazard | 19 | +$391K | +$2.85M | 99 |
| ndb1 | 15 | +$454K | +$2.81M | 96 |
| Jsram | 39 | +$274K | +$2.34M | 39 |
This is the first weekly report; week-over-week comparisons start next issue.
Context
Over the whole archive (2026-03-19 → 2026-10-29, 200 daily snapshots), 88% of the 100 most frequent daily-board wallets were overstated and 45% were net negative. See is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate?
Weekly figures are Polymarket's own weekly leaderboard as fetched on 2026-10-29; lifetime is Polymarket's all-time PnL (taker fees already deducted). This report is frozen: its numbers will not change after publication. All reports.
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