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Polymarket leaderboard reality check — Week 45, 2026
Data as of · source: daily Polymarket leaderboard archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots), checked against Polymarket's public APIs · methodology
Quotable findings
20 of the 100 wallets on Polymarket's weekly overall leaderboard on 2026-11-04 (20%) have lost money over their lifetime.
Across all nine weekly category boards, 172 of 746 distinct wallets (23%) are net negative lifetime.
The weekly overall top 100 made $32.50M on the board this week; their combined verified lifetime PnL is $42.27M.
Most inflated this week
Biggest gap between this week's board result and the wallet's lifetime record.
| Wallet | Weekly rank | This week (board) | Verified lifetime PnL | Days on daily board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3dfb153c… | 41 | +$255K | -$4.74M | 71 |
| purplegatto | 73 | +$171K | -$1.94M | 80 |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | 7 | +$773K | -$1.23M | 29 |
| 0xa2cd4ccd… | 4 | +$981K | -$429K | 58 |
| 3edmond.dantes | 48 | +$230K | -$1.02M | — |
Most real this week
Weekly leaders whose lifetime PnL is at least this week's result and who were on the daily board 5+ days in the archive.
| Wallet | Weekly rank | This week (board) | Verified lifetime PnL | Days on daily board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2c335066… | 14 | +$574K | +$5.96M | 92 |
| HomeRunHazard | 11 | +$613K | +$2.94M | 103 |
| ndb1 | 1 | +$1.22M | +$2.58M | 96 |
| denizz | 90 | +$142K | +$2.36M | 92 |
| Jsram | 66 | +$185K | +$2.31M | 39 |
Compared with 2026-w44: net-negative weekly leaders 8 → 20; new faces 11 → 25.
Context
Over the whole archive (2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04, 206 daily snapshots), 89% of the 100 most frequent daily-board wallets were overstated and 47% were net negative. See is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate?
Weekly figures are Polymarket's own weekly leaderboard as fetched on 2026-11-04; lifetime is Polymarket's all-time PnL (taker fees already deducted). This report is frozen: its numbers will not change after publication. All reports.
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